Conflict simulation, peacebuilding, and development

Global Oil Supply Disruption Simulation 2011

We’ve reported before on the Oil Shockwave simulation organized by the “Securing America’s Future Energy” think-tank/NGO/energy policy advocacy group. Another of the series was held on July 13, featuring several former high-level US government officials:

Oil ShockWave Executive Crisis Simulation: Oil ShockWave, a fast-paced wargame simulation featuring a cutting-edge graphics delivered in a life-like environment, awed Summit attendees. As former government officials and Cabinet members grappled with spiraling oil prices and geopolitical turmoil, they confronted crucial lessons about the fragile nature of the global energy economy. Participants included:

  • Admiral Dennis C. Blair, USN (Ret.), former Director of National Intelligence and Commander in Chief, U.S. Pacific Command
  • Ambassador Stuart E. Eizenstat, former Deputy Secretary of the Treasury
  • Ari Fleischer, former White House Press Secretary
  • Stephen Hadley, former National Security Advisor to President George W. Bush
  • John Hannah, former National Security Advisor to Vice President Dick Cheney
  • John Hofmeister, former President and CEO of Shell Oil Co.
  • Ambassador John Negroponte, former Deputy Secretary of State and Director of National Intelligence
  • Ambassador Susan C. Schwab, former United States Trade Representative
  • General Charles F. Wald, USAF (Ret.), former Deputy Commander, U.S. European Command

As we noted last time, this isn’t really a wargame at all in the sense that the actors take decisions at T1 that then affect the situation at T2. Instead, participants given a scenario (and a few subsequent “injects” of news to keep it lively), and within this context discuss policy options in a semi-roleplaying approach. Not surprisingly, the scenario reflects the sorts of issues and concerns that SAFE is attempting to press onto the public and political agenda.

A 2.5 hour video of the simulation can be seen via C-Span, together with a full transcript. There is also coverage from National Geographic News.

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